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Kimi Antonelli Needs One Top-Nine Finish in Mexico City to Become the Youngest F1 Champion Ever

Kimi Antonelli started from pole at the Circuit of the Americas on Sunday, led most of the afternoon, and beat Charles Leclerc by 13.078 seconds. It was his ninth win of the season. He did not clinch the championship, and that is the only mildly surprising thing about the day.

Austin was a live clinching opportunity. Antonelli needed the win plus George Russell ninth or lower and Lewis Hamilton fifth or lower. Russell finished eighth, Hamilton fourth, and the 20-year-old has to wait a week.

The Math Is Barely Math Anymore

Antonelli has 365 points. Russell, his own Mercedes teammate, has 242. Hamilton has 241. Five races remain and 125 points are available, so the only two drivers still alive are the ones sitting within 125 of him, and neither has looked remotely capable of taking that many.

In Mexico City on Nov. 1, any finish from first through ninth ends it. Ninth gets there on countback, since nine wins already beats anything Russell can reach. Tenth does it too, unless Russell wins. Even a retirement clinches it as long as neither Russell nor Hamilton takes the checkered flag.

Youngest Ever, by More Than Three Years

Antonelli was born on Aug. 25, 2006. He will be 20 years and two months old next Sunday. Sebastian Vettel has held the record for youngest world champion since Abu Dhabi in 2010, when he clinched at 23 years, four months and 11 days. Antonelli would take more than three years off it.

He would also be the first Italian world champion since Alberto Ascari in 1953.

Vettel, asked about losing the record earlier this season, was fine with it. “I’d be very happy for him,” he said. “Records are there to be broken.”

Nobody Had Him Here Eighteen Months Ago

Antonelli finished seventh as a rookie in 2025 with 150 points, no wins and three podiums, and spent a stretch of that season being told he did not belong in a Mercedes. Toto Wolff remembers who said it. “It wasn’t an easy road,” the team principal said Sunday. “There are many people that said last year after nine races without points, he shouldn’t be in a Mercedes.”

Wolff called the Austin drive “the race of a champion who isn’t the champion yet” and “the best race that he’s delivered so far.” Antonelli was the only driver in the top five to start on medium tires, turned it into a one-stop, dropped to fourth after his lap-24 stop and took the lead back from Leclerc on lap 32. On the qualifying lap that set it all up, Wolff’s verdict was “a miracle lap.”

Russell Has Already Conceded

The only mathematical threat left is the driver in the other Mercedes, and he is not pretending otherwise. “The pace just was rubbish today,” Russell said after finishing eighth with a five-second penalty for leaving the track. “I don’t have the answers right now.” On the title: “For me, as long as we win the constructors’, that’s the main thing. I’d like to finish as best of the rest, but P2, P3, P5 is not the champion, so it doesn’t mean anything.”

That constructors’ title is not settled either. Mercedes has 607 points to Ferrari’s 474 with 215 still available, so the earliest it can be wrapped up is also Mexico City. Antonelli’s own math is simpler than that. Finish the race in the top nine and Formula 1 has a 20-year-old champion.

Wolff has already picked the drink. “He still needs to finish the race in Mexico. So it’s either going to be a big tequila party…”

Carlos Garcia

A longtime sports reporter, Carlos Garcia has written about some of the biggest and most notable athletic events of the last 5 years. He has been credentialed to cover MLS, NBA and MLB games all over the United States. His work has been published on Fox Sports, Bleacher Report, AOL and the Washington Post.
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