MLB

Dylan Cease Hits the IL With a Hamstring Strain: Blue Jays Lose Their Ace at Exactly the Wrong Time

The Toronto Blue Jays just lost the wrong pitcher at the wrong moment. Dylan Cease is headed to the 15-day injured list with a mild left hamstring strain.

Toronto made the move official Tuesday and selected right-hander Tanner Andrews from Triple-A Buffalo to take Cease’s 26-man roster spot. The hamstring strain is not believed to be severe, but the timing could not be worse for a Blue Jays rotation that has been carrying the team through a rough start to the season.

Cease was signed last offseason to be exactly this kind of insurance policy. Now Toronto needs an insurance policy for the insurance policy.

The Rotation Math Gets Ugly

The Blue Jays already have question marks behind Cease. Kevin Gausman has been inconsistent. Chris Bassitt is reliable but not a true ace. The back end of the rotation has been rotating between several Triple-A arms.

Losing Cease for at least two starts means the Blue Jays will need to ask their bullpen to absorb more innings. The bullpen has been overworked already. The cascade effect of losing a starter is bigger than just one rotation slot.

If Cease misses more than the 15-day minimum, the rotation problem becomes a real problem. The Blue Jays cannot afford to drop another series in the AL East.

The Hamstring Should Heal Quickly

Mild hamstring strains for pitchers typically heal in two to three weeks. The mechanics of pitching put more stress on the planted leg than people realize, so even a low-grade strain has to be fully healed before a return.

The Blue Jays are not going to rush Cease back. They have the financial and competitive incentive to make sure his return is permanent rather than risk a re-aggravation.

That conservative approach probably means Cease is back in early June. He is unlikely to miss more than three starts.

Tanner Andrews Gets His Shot

Andrews has been pitching well at Triple-A Buffalo. He has command of three pitches and a clean delivery. He is not Cease. He will not replace Cease. But he can give the Blue Jays competent innings out of the bullpen while the rotation figures itself out.

This is the kind of opportunity that defines marginal players. If Andrews throws strikes and limits damage, he sticks around. If he struggles, the Blue Jays cycle him back to Buffalo and try someone else.

The Bigger Problem in Toronto

The Cease news landed on the same day Vladimir Guerrero Jr. took a fastball to the elbow and reported numbness in his fingers. The Blue Jays are dealing with their best pitcher and their best hitter both showing up on injury reports within 24 hours.

That is the kind of news cycle that swings how a front office thinks about July. If both injuries linger, Toronto could shift from buyer to seller at the trade deadline. The AL East does not slow down for teams that are dealing with simultaneous injury crises.

What to Watch Next

Cease’s bullpen schedule will tell the story. If he is throwing off a mound by next week, the recovery is on track. If he is shut down for a longer period, the Blue Jays have a problem.

For now, the official line is “mild” and “short-term.” Blue Jays fans should hope both of those words hold up. Toronto cannot afford to find out what this team looks like without Cease for an extended stretch.

Carlos Garcia

A longtime sports reporter, Carlos Garcia has written about some of the biggest and most notable athletic events of the last 5 years. He has been credentialed to cover MLS, NBA and MLB games all over the United States. His work has been published on Fox Sports, Bleacher Report, AOL and the Washington Post.
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