MLB

Aaron Judge Is on Pace for 64 Home Runs: A 50-HR Record No Hitter Has Ever Touched

Aaron Judge is chasing history. Through 38 games of the 2026 season, the New York Yankees captain has 15 home runs and a pace that would put him at 64 dingers, which would be a new American League record. The number is the headline, but the streak is the real story.

If Judge gets to 50 homers in 2026, he becomes the first player in baseball history with five 50-homer seasons. That is a record nobody has ever sniffed. Babe Ruth had four. Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa each had four during the steroid era. Ken Griffey Jr. had four. Judge would stand alone.

That is the kind of historical context that gets lost when somebody chases a Roger Maris number or a Barry Bonds number every year. Five 50-homer seasons is a different kind of achievement. It says you were not just a one-year wonder. It says you were the dominant power hitter of your era for the better part of a decade.

Judge has had an interesting season already. He went on a brutal homerless drought, an 11-game RBI-less stretch that briefly raised questions about whether age was finally catching up with him. He turned 34 in April. The shoulder has been a question. The body has been a question.

The Yankees captain answered everything with a two-run walk-off homer against the Tampa Bay Rays last week. That snapped the drought. Since then he has been a different hitter, and the home run pace is roaring back to normal Judge levels.

This is why he is still the best hitter in the American League when he is right. The combination of power and plate discipline that he brings is unique. He walks. He hits doubles. He hits balls into the upper deck off pitches most hitters cannot get to. The only hitters in his neighborhood are Shohei Ohtani and maybe Juan Soto.

The pace is also a great reminder that home run totals are not linear. Pitchers adjust. Slumps happen. Cold weeks in July can drop your final number by 8 to 10 dingers. Judge has had pace seasons before that ended in the high 50s. He has also had seasons where everything broke right and the number ended in the 60s.

This is also one of the few real reasons to watch the Yankees right now. New York has been a frustrating team. The rotation has been hurt. Giancarlo Stanton’s body has been Giancarlo Stanton’s body. The bullpen has been a project. Judge is the constant, the one player you tune in to watch every night.

He keeps doing things that put him in the Cooperstown conversation in ways most hitters never reach. He is the reigning AL MVP for several seasons. He has multiple home run titles. He has been the face of the franchise during one of the loudest eras in Yankee history.

Five 50-homer seasons would be the kind of cherry that locks his Hall of Fame plaque in stone. He has another four months to find that number. If anybody can, it is Aaron Judge. Watch every at-bat. You do not get many chances to see this kind of pace.

Carlos Garcia

A longtime sports reporter, Carlos Garcia has written about some of the biggest and most notable athletic events of the last 5 years. He has been credentialed to cover MLS, NBA and MLB games all over the United States. His work has been published on Fox Sports, Bleacher Report, AOL and the Washington Post.
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